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Quarterly profit plummets 98% at Archer Daniels Midland

Agricultural issue Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE: ADM) is sharply lower in today's trading after falling short of Wall Street's earnings expectations. The company confessed to a 98% slide in third-quarter net income, thanks to hefty investment losses and a weak pricing environment.

ADM reported a profit of $8 million, or 1 penny per share, compared to its year-ago results of $517 million, or 80 cents per share. Investment losses for the period totaled 36 cents per share. Revenue for the quarter tumbled 21% to $14.8 billion, impacted by strength in the U.S. dollar and softer commodity prices. As a result, gross margin contracted from 6.2% to 4.4%.

Continue reading Quarterly profit plummets 98% at Archer Daniels Midland

The ADM train is leaving the station

It goes without saying that you'd call this a selective market: select the wrong stock, and there's a 30-40% haircut up ahead; select the correct stock, and you're positioned for the recovery with modest downside exposure. And with the aforementioned in mind, Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) is worth a review.

The global recession decreased demand for ADM's products, and the company is likely to face challenging conditions for at least the next two quarters.

Continue reading The ADM train is leaving the station

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DUK, DIS, ADM, DLTR

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded shares of Liberty Property Trust (NYSE:LRY) to Hold from Sell to reflect the company's capital raises and progress on leasing over the past quarter. The firm raised their target price to $21 from $16.
  • UBS upgraded shares of Lonmin (Other OTC:LNMIY) to Neutral from Sell as they believe Xstrata may make an offer for the company.
  • Cantor Fitzgerald upgraded RadiSys (NASDAQ:RSYS) to Buy from Hold after the company reported better-than-expected Q4 results and provided Q1 guidance which the firm believes indicates that fiscal 2009 results will be better than expected. The firm set a target of $8.50.
  • Duke Energy (NYSE:DUK) and PG & E (NYSE:PCG) were raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.
  • Techne (NASDAQ:TECH) was upgraded at Baird to Outperform from Neutral.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DUK, DIS, ADM, DLTR

Earnings preview: ADM revenue to rise as commodity prices fall?

Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) is scheduled to discuss fiscal second-quarter 2009 results tomorrow, February 3, in a conference call at 9:00 AM ET. To listen in to the call, dial 800-561-2601 or 617-614-3518; the access code is 81365958. Or catch the live webcast on the company's website.

For the quarter that saw lower commodities prices, analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect the Atlanta-based company to report earnings of $0.68 per share, down from $0.75 per share in the same period of the previous year. Revenue for the quarter is expected to have risen 2.9% from last year to $17.0 billion. ADM's earnings have topped estimates in the most recent quarters, more than doubling the EPS forecast in its record first quarter.

Continue reading Earnings preview: ADM revenue to rise as commodity prices fall?

Stock picks and pans for troubled times: ADM, FSLR, GG, CLWR, DELL, MTW ...

If there was any doubt whether the rally at the end of 2008 and the beginning of 2009 was anything but a bear market rally, this week put these doubts to rest. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is already down 8.3% year-to-date; it sank 6.2% this week alone (notwithstanding Friday).

This week the financial crisis once again took center stage as Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) and Citigroup (NYSE: C) received a second round of bailout money and more guarantees. BAC is finding hard to digest its two acquisitions, while Citi is splitting itself and is no longer a financial supermarket.

But this wasn't all that happened this week. The fourth-quarter earnings season kicked off Monday; Alcoa (NYSE: AA) reported dismal numbers, all the rest followed suit. Even if there were a few surprises to the upside that exceeded expectations, the expectations themselves were already quite low.

Continue reading Stock picks and pans for troubled times: ADM, FSLR, GG, CLWR, DELL, MTW ...

Don't get down on the farm -- Archer Daniels is a great buy

With banking stocks getting crushed in the first few trading days of 2009, is there anywhere to hide?

For those looking to buy stocks, I provided a list of Top 10 Stocks for 2009. You won't find any financial stocks on the list.

Instead, I targeted a few themes that I believed would do well for varying reasons. One theme that I am particularly keen on is agriculture.

In a world that is full of fraud, bank collapses and historically low interest rates, I want to have some defense in any long recommendation.

The thing that makes agriculture so attractive is that the hedge fund maniacs turned this once boring space into the thrill ride of a lifetime. After a roller-coaster year, many great names in the space can be had for cheap prices.

One of the names on the list just got a whole lot cheaper.

Continue reading Don't get down on the farm -- Archer Daniels is a great buy

Stay defensive: Invest in consumer staples

"If you're going to stay invested, you should look to defensive sectors," explain Ron Rowland and Brandon Clay, who point to consumer staples as a top pick for the current market environment.

In their Invest with an Edge, the advisors explain, "Perhaps the best way to stay defensive is with the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLP), an exchange traded fund.

"In a bear market, opportunities are usually limited to certain sectors. Surveying the investment horizon, we think the consumer staples sector has the best opportunity for growth in this economy.

"Regardless how the economy acts, people still eat. Consumers may not shop at Whole Foods, but they'll still buy groceries. Companies like Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Safeway (NYSE: SWY) will continue to rake in revenues from hungry customers.

"In addition, these companies should continue to receive additional revenue from consumers who normally shop at specialty stores, but can no longer afford to.

"Consumers may not be shopping at Sharper Image any more, but there are other creature comforts that will be difficult for Americans to abandon.

"Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) and PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) will still sell products during a prolonged downturn. In addition, companies providing toiletries and convenience like Procter and Gamble and CVS Pharmacy stand to do well during a shifty economy.

Continue reading Stay defensive: Invest in consumer staples

Financial Felons: Mark Whitacre

This post is part of a feature in which he wonder whatever happened to some notorious financial felons. See all 17.

How does the head of one of Archer Daniels Midland's (NYSE: ADM) fastest-growing divisions, a virtual shoo-in to be the company's next president, end up embezzling $9 million dollars while simultaneously acting as an informant for the Federal Bureau of Investigation? And how does the highest-level executive to turn whistleblower receive a sentence much harsher than those of his co-conspirators despite pleas for leniency and clemency from everyone from the FBI and the Justice Department to congressmen, university professors, and even a baseball hall-of-famer?

Sounds like the stuff of motion pictures, doesn't it? And that's exactly what this true story will be in September of 2009 with the release of The Informant, a Warner Brothers film directed by Steven Soderbergh and starring Matt Damon as whistleblower turned felon, Mark Whitacre. The movie is based on one of several books written about the case.

When the FBI began an investigation of ADM in 1992, Whitacre admitted that he and other executives were involved in a multinational price-fixing scheme. For the next three years, he helped the FBI gather evidence. Despite that, however, Whitacre was convicted in 1998 for wire fraud, tax evasion, and money laundering. The sentence of more than 10 years in prison was considered excessive by many, given his cooperation with the investigation and the fact that he suffered from bipolar disorder (the pressure drove him to attempt suicide at one point). Whitacre served eight and half years, reportedly as a model prisoner. To this day, efforts continue to win a pardon for Whitacre.

Continue reading Financial Felons: Mark Whitacre

Earnings highlights: Ford, Toyota, Goldman Sachs, Disney, Sprint, ADM and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Ford, Toyota, Goldman Sachs, Disney, Sprint, ADM and others

Closing Bell: Market rallies on Election Day; ADM, CIT, MA, VLO up, FCSX down

We don't have any official results from the presidential and congressional elections as of yet, but traders decided to keep buying stocks today despite concerns of what an Obama administration would do to equity investors. Regardless of the bad economic data, it looks and feels as though you can make actual analysis beyond the next 30-minute period again. Even a $6.00+ rally in oil prices after the Saudis cut production did not stop stocks from rallying. Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA: 8,625.28 (+3.28)
NASDAQ: 1,780.12 (+3.12%)
S&P 500: 1,005.73 (+4.08%)

Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) surged after the agricultural giant blew past earnings estimates and it is being rewarded after losing so much ground this year. Shares were up 14% at $24.13 right before the close.

CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) saw its shares surge as one of the top percentage gainers today after the company announced that it has completed a $500 million financing facility from Wells Fargo. In the final minutes of trading, shares were up over 32% at $6.00 on three-times normal volume.

Continue reading Closing Bell: Market rallies on Election Day; ADM, CIT, MA, VLO up, FCSX down

Before the bell: Stocks higher on Election Day; GE, MA, VIA, ADM, DF, MRVL, AAPL ...

U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning at the start of the election day. Overseas, markets also edged higher ahead of the U.S. presidential election, while oil prices declined further to below $64 a barrel. While it is uncertain yet if any of the candidates would help boost sentiments and the markets as the economy is distressed either way, some analysts say much of the bad news around the economy and corporate profits are already priced into stocks. September factory orders will be released today.

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE)'s arm GE Capital may be able to get some help from the Treasury. The Wall Street Journal reported its sources say the Treasury has been considering using more of its $700 billion rescue fund to buy stakes in a broad range of financial companies, not just banks and insurers. Apparently, initial signs show the program has been a success, and therefore might be expanded. CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) was cited as another candidate for help. GE shares are up 2.6% in premarket trading,

MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA) shares soared over 8% in after-hours trade Monday after the credit card processor has posted better-than-expected profit (after charges) boosted by revenue growth. It has also adjusted profit better than forecast. MasterCard, however, took a charge of $515 million for settling a lawsuit with Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS), making its net loss $194 million.

Viacom Inc. (NYSE: VIA) earnings, however, dropped 37% year over year, but adjusted earnings were inline with expectations.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stocks higher on Election Day; GE, MA, VIA, ADM, DF, MRVL, AAPL ...

Verasun goes Chapter 11

Maybe ethanol is not such a good business after all. Stocks in the sectors were really darlings of the market a year ago. Now oil prices are back down and the price of corn is up, although not as much as it was in mid-summer.

One of the two or three largest ethanol companies in the U.S., Verasun (NYSE: VSE) is filing for Chapter 11. According to The Wall Street Journal, "VeraSun made bad bets on the corn market over the summer as grain prices reached record highs."

Shares in the firm traded as high as $17.75 late last year. They had dropped to $0.34.

The entire industry may face a restructuring now. It had built a tremendous infrastructure of new plants and shipping facilities assuming that ethanol would be "the next big thing" in the global fuel business. Corn prices moved up because farmers could not produce enough for food and fuel.

The real giant in the industry is ADM (NYSE: ADM). It has moved up from a 52-week low of $13.53 to almost $21.00. The Verasun news could move the shares south again.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.

Analyst calls: WFMI, ADM, AZO, PUK, FCX, LOGI, TTWO, URBN, AEO ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS.
  • Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
  • AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Merrill Lynch.
  • B. Riley upgraded S&T Bancorp (NASDAQ: STBA) to Buy from Neutral and lowered its target to $35 from $38 on valuation, as they believe the sell-off post-Q3 results is overdone.
  • Jefferies upgraded GSI Commerce (NASDAQ: GSIC) to Buy from Hold on valuation after Q4 revenue guidance was reset lower. The firm lowered their target to $13 from $18.
  • JP Morgan upgraded shares of DHT Maritime (NYSE: DHT) and General Maritime (NYSE: GMR) to Overweight from Neutral on the company's valuation and dividend stability.
Analyst downgrades:
  • HSBC cut Prudential (NYSE: PUK) to Neutral from Overweight as they believe capital has eroded and debt refinancing is increasingly difficult.
  • Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
  • Logitech (NASDAQ: LOGI) was lowered to Hold from Buy at Citigroup and to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse.

Continue reading Analyst calls: WFMI, ADM, AZO, PUK, FCX, LOGI, TTWO, URBN, AEO ...

Option Update: Volatility for stocks with exposure to lower commodity prices

Anglogold (NYSE: AU) closed at $27.47 Thursday. Gold is recently down 3.11% to $789.20 according to Bloomberg. AU September option implied volatility of 51 is above its 26-week average of 43 according to Track Data, suggesting larger movement.

Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO) closed at $33.93 Thursday. Crude oil futures are recently down 1.64% to $113.37. VLO September option implied volatility of 53 is above its 26-week average of 47 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Southern Peru Copper (NYSE: PCU) closed at $24 Thursday. Copper is recently down 3.80% to 326 according to Bloomberg. PCU September option implied volatility of 53 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Archer Daniels (NYSE: ADM) closed at $26.62 Thursday. Corn futures are recently down 3.38% to 557.75, Soybean futures are down 2.59% to 1241 according to Track Data. ADM September option implied volatility of 44 is above its 26-week average of 40 according to Track Data, suggesting slightly larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-223.328,280.74
NASDAQ-49.201,796.52
S&P 500-26.91896.42

Last updated: July 03, 2009: 11:15 PM

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